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2.5 Claim discipline and the theorem ladder

The program separates six layers. A claim may be presentational, concerning what evidence is revealed; predictive, concerning answers to admissible probes; categorical, concerning typed composition; developmental, concerning preservation or revision of the core doctrine; decision-theoretic, concerning the selection of actions; or causal, when intervention semantics justify that stronger reading. No implication between adjacent layers is automatic.

The book develops seven theorem families: identification, realization, invariance, comparison, repair, stability, and transport. Identification is the ORACLE semantic problem; realization, effective probing, and online repair become UOCL questions. Each family also has a tangent form once variation structure is part of the hypothesis, and a decision form once an action mechanism and observer have been declared.

Book part

Mathematical role

Governing question

I

Categorical identification

Which category is determined by an online presentation and a family of probes?

II

Categorical core knowledge

Which developmental restrictions have non-vacuous identification and composition consequences?

III

Online categorical learning

How are base and tangent hypotheses selected, probed, repaired, and stabilized?

IV

Decision specialization

When does a predictive category support UODL?

V

Global-clock test cases

How do OCO and bandits instantiate the specialization?

VI

Information beyond a clock

What survives decentralized, asynchronous, or endogenous information?

VII

Coherent repair

When must the categorical presentation itself change?

VIII

Lifelong structure

Which discoveries transport across worlds and tasks?